Federal Residential Solar Credit Expired Jan 2026 · 25-Year Analysis

Solar + EV Charging ROI Calculator

Payback period, 25-year net savings, % of EV miles covered by solar, and LCOE vs grid — using real 2026 solar costs, your state’s EIA rate, and your EV consumption.

Federal residential credit (25D) expired 2026 NREL peak sun hours by region 0.5%/yr panel degradation modelled
25-Year Net Savings (Solar + EV)
$42,500
After system cost (no federal credit), 0.5%/yr degradation, 2.5%/yr rate inflation
System Cost (net)
$15,960
Annual Production
10,476 kWh
Annual Savings Yr 1
$1,849
📅
Payback Period
8.6 years
After payback, every kWh is free electricity for your EV and home
Solar Coverage 87% of EV + home energy
0%25%50%75%100%
EV kWh / Month
317 kWh
% EV Miles Solar-Powered
100%
Solar LCOE
$0.053/kWh
vs Grid Rate
70% cheaper
Gross System Cost
$22,800
Federal ITC (expired 2026)
$0
State Rebate
−$0
Net Cost (after credits)
$15,960
Peak Sun Hrs/Day
4.5 hr
EV Charging Saved/yr
$672/yr
Adjust inputs to see your personalised Solar + EV ROI.

Year-by-Year Savings (25 Years)

2.5%/yr rate inflation · 0.5%/yr panel degradation
Year Production (kWh) Grid Rate Annual Saving Cumulative Net (after cost)
Share Your Solar ROI
How It’s Calculated

What Goes Into Your Solar + EV ROI

This calculator models 25 years of solar production, electricity savings, EV charging savings, grid rate inflation, and panel degradation. Every input is grounded in real 2026 data.

01
System Cost & Tax Credits
Gross cost = system size × $/W. The 30% federal residential solar credit (IRC §25D) expired for systems placed in service after Dec 31, 2025 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, so this calculator no longer subtracts a federal credit for cash or loan purchases. State rebates still reduce net cost where available.
Source: SEIA 2026 avg $2.85/W · IRS §25D sunset under OBBBA (2025)
02
Annual Solar Production
Production = system kW × peak sun hours/day × 365 × 0.85 (system efficiency factor). Peak sun hours from NREL PVWatts by state. Production declines 0.5%/year as panels age.
Source: NREL PVWatts Tool · LBNL Tracking the Sun 2024
03
Savings Calculation
Energy you consume directly offsets grid purchases at your full rate. Exported surplus earns net metering credits (at your chosen %). EV charging energy saved is priced at your state’s EIA rate. Grid rates inflate 2.5%/year.
Source: EIA May 2026 state rates · CPUC NEM 3.0 filing
Common Questions

Solar + EV — What People Actually Ask

No, not for a homeowner buying a system outright. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA, signed July 2025) repealed both the EV federal tax credit (IRC §30D) and the residential solar tax credit (IRC §25D), the latter for any system placed in service after December 31, 2025. A separate business credit (IRC §48E) still runs through 2032, but that only benefits third-party owned systems such as solar leases or PPAs, where the leasing company claims the credit, not a homeowner who buys or finances their own system. If you placed your system in service by December 31, 2025, your 30% credit is unaffected. This calculator no longer applies a federal credit to purchased systems.

Source: IRS §25D sunset under OBBBA (signed July 2025) · SEIA clean energy provisions summary 2026

A rule of thumb: 1 kW of solar capacity produces roughly 1,200–1,800 kWh/year depending on your location. An EV driven 1,000 miles/month uses about 317–400 kWh/month (3,800–4,800 kWh/year). At 3.5 mi/kWh with 90% charger efficiency. To cover your EV alone: 2–4 kW of additional solar. Most homeowners add 1–2 kW beyond what their home needs. Use the system size slider above to see exactly how much of your total energy (home + EV) your proposed system covers.

Source: NREL PVWatts · EIA residential energy use 2025

LCOE (Levelized Cost of Energy) is the total lifetime cost of the solar system divided by the total lifetime energy it produces — your effective cost per kWh over 25 years. In 2026, residential solar LCOE ranges from $0.04 to $0.07/kWh depending on system cost and sun hours. At $0.05/kWh LCOE vs your grid rate of $0.18/kWh, every kWh of EV charging from solar costs 72% less than from the grid.

Source: Sustainability Atlas solar ROI 2026 · LBNL Tracking the Sun 2024

Net metering credits you for electricity your solar panels export to the grid when you generate more than you use. Most states credit you at your full retail rate (100%). California’s NEM 3.0 (2023) dramatically cut export credits to ~25% of retail, making battery storage more attractive there. The export rate you set in this calculator directly impacts your annual savings.

Source: CPUC NEM 3.0 filing 2023 · Green Energy Calculators ITC guide 2026

See what solar saves on your monthly charging bill.

The Home Charging Calculator shows your exact monthly EV charging cost at your state’s rate — the baseline solar offsets.